45 Years Since Apollo 11

Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin walked on the moon forty-five years ago, just a little over eight years after President Kennedy called for the US "to go to the moon in this decade."

"We choose to go to the moon. We choose to go to the moon... (interrupted by applause) we choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard, because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our energies and skills, because that challenge is one that we are willing to accept, one we are unwilling to postpone, and one which we intend to win, and the others, too."

Eight years. The US did it in eight years with computers orders of magnitude more primitive than we have in the iPhones we carry around in our pockets. Would somebody please explain to me why we haven't put an astronaut on Mars yet?

Apple vs DOJ e-Book Case: Settlement Agreement a Poison Pill?

Yes, I'm still harping on the Apple e-book anti-trust saga. Every writer and book lover ought to be paying attention to it. The outcome will decide the future of book publishing in the US. And, as an analyst, I find it fun mental exercise to parse through possible outcomes of stuff like this. If any readers are lawyers, feel free to correct my misunderstandings about the legalities over on my Facebook page.

The latest bit of news is that Apple agreed to pay $450 million to settle the inevitable class-action lawsuit that resulted Judge Denise Cote verdict that Apple colluded in price-fixing with publishers.

"The settlement was first announced last month, but the terms of the deal were not announced at that time. With the news of a $450 million agreement, Apple would save nearly $400 million from the $840 million the lawsuit originally sought, if it were to have gone to trial.

While Apple has agreed to the terms, they must still be ratified by U.S. District Judge Denise Cote. If the court's ruling that Apple violated antitrust laws is affirmed, consumers will receive $400 million from Apple."

This wasn't unexpected. Large corporations typically negotiate settlement agreements in class-action lawsuits rather than risk having to write a check for the maximum possible penalty. It's a simple cost-benefit calculation and guilt or innocence isn't part of the equation. Where the maximum penalty is $850 million, $450 million, a bit more than 50%, is a perfectly reasonable settlement. Apple is meeting DOJ halfway. That's righteous...assuming the judge doesn't hate you.

See, here's the interesting bit -- Judge Denise Cote has shown unremitting hostility towards Apple since before the anti-trust trial began and that accusation is a big part of the basis for the appeal of her guilty verdict. Which is why I find it notable that there's a clause that kicks in if the Appeals Court overturns her verdict and orders a t:

"...if the ruling is not affirmed and liability must be retried, the settlement provides a smaller recovery of $50 million."

Now, I'm not a lawyer (IANAL) so I don't know how common such provisions are in settlement agreements; but to my untrained eye, that bit of legal language looks like it's designed to twist Judge Cote's arm "Take the deal and we'll agree to $450 million. Reject the deal and it drops to $50 million." Why do I think that?

If Judge Cote is unfairly biased against Apple, that clause presents her with a choice she must find abhorrent:

1. Accept the settlement and Apple pays half the maximum penalty she probably wants to inflict if the Appeals Court sustains her verdict; or

2. Reject the perfectly rational settlement offer, thereby giving Apple more evidence of personal bias and strengthening their appeal while also positioning Apple to settle the whole morass for $50 million if the appeal succeeds. Apple has something north of $150 billion cash on its balance sheet at last report, so $50 million is .0003% of Apple's checking account. It's a rounding error (though $450 million is only a slightly larger rounding error and the full $850 million penalty Judge Cote would probably like impose would only be ~0.6% of Apple's cash on hand).

If #2 happens and the Appeals Court overturns her original verdict, the only way to slap Apple with any non-chump-change penalty would be for DOJ retry the case -- not a pleasant prospect. It would take years, Apple would come armed with an Appeals Court ruling that neutralizes at least some of their previous arguments, and Judge Cote can't force them to do it. So she either accepts the smaller settlement or Apple pays virtually no penalty at all no matter what happens unless the DOJ wants to start the whole mess all over again.

DOJ must be confident that Apple's appeal will fail; otherwise I can't imagine how/why DOJ's lawyers agreed to that clause. I don't know what Judge Cote thinks Apple's chances are on appeal, but if she's at all worried it will succeed, I can't imagine she's very happy with the DOJ right now.

The Craft of Writing: Why I Use Scrivener

I occasionally get asked what app I use to write my novels. The answer is Scrivener. Reactions to that vary, with ignorance of Scrivener being the norm. However, regardless of the reaction, I almost always get asked, "why don't you use Microsoft Word?"

The answer to that question is, "have you ever tried to write anything longer than a one-page memo in Word?"

 

The fact is that when I sat down to write Red Cell, my first novel, I started it using Word. It wasn't pleasant. I won't list off all the reasons why; there have been many Internet diatribes by other authors that cover that terrain pretty well — google "Microsoft Word author agony." Suffice it to say that Microsoft Word isn't well designed for drafting long documents.

So I explored alternatives, starting with other word processors — Apple's Pages, OpenOffice, LibreOffice, Bean, Mariner Write, Nisus Writer Pro — and found out that none of them were any better for the job. Admittedly, some of them might have improved significantly over the last decade since I dabbled with them, but at the time they were, as Steve Jobs once phrased it, "a big bag of hurt." It was like the scene from Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix where Dolores Umbridge makes Harry write "I will not tell lies" using a blood quill. No wonder Ernest Hemingway drank so much. Yes, he just used a typewriter, but I think he saw what was coming.

In growing desperation, I tried text editors like TextEditTextMateBare Bones Software's TextWrangler (for you non-techies, that's an HTML code editor), Smultron (no link, that one's dead and buried), WriteRoom, and several others whose names I have willingly forgotten. None of them were any better (though WriteRoom at least takes a minimalist approach and mostly gets out of the way).

Sweet Mother of Mary, I even looked around to see if there was a good LaTeX editor that would fit the bill (every computer science student reading this is now shaking her head in utter disbelief).

Then I learned that there are specialized writing apps. With renewed hope, I checked those out. There were a bunch, I burned through the demo versions...and none of them felt right. At best, they weren't actively painful to use but they weren't exactly intuitive. I've written plenty of software in my day; these apps felt like software written by a engineers chasing a market...coders creating the kind of tool for a job they've never actually performed themselves. They probably interviewed writers and asked what kinds of features they would like, but didn't have any actual writers testing the software during its development. Even when they got the feature set right, the implementations were clunky.

Then came Scrivener.

Scrivener is the flagship app of a company called Literature & Latte. At the time, the company consisted of precisely one employee — Keith Blount, a Brit living in Cornwall, England. Blount was an aspiring writer who ran into the same problem I had. Fortunately (for me), he ran into it a few years before I did and decided to do something about it. Blount taught himself how to program and created the kind of tool that he wanted to use. Writing software coded by a writer? That was promising. I downloaded the demo, spent ten minutes with it, and the search was done.

Brief note: I'm not getting compensated in any way to say good stuff about Scrivener or its parent company. I'm praising it because I use it and think it's the best-of-breed writing tool out there. I've never met Keith Blount, but if I ever do, I'm going to take him down to his favorite pub in Cornwall and buy him a plate of bangers-and-mash.

I could tap out an extended diatribe extolling the many features of Scrivener, but you should really just go to the video tutorials page on Blount's site and watch the Introduction to Scrivener. If you're a writer (aspiring or otherwise) you'll understand what I'm talking about. If you're not a writer but have to occasionally draft long-ish documents — term papers, sermons, theses, dissertations — you might find it's better than a word processor for what you do. In any case, remember this: Scrivener gets the feature set right and it's implementation of those features is nothing short of joyous.

And for you non-Mac users, there's are versions for Windows and Linux (beta), and an iOS version is in the works. (Writing a novel on an iPad seems like another bag of hurt, but I won't judge).

So, long story short, why do I use Scrivener?

Because I don't enjoy pain. Scrivener is Percocet for a writer's soul. It makes the pain just go away.

7 – 1 ?

Total psychological collapse.

"Brazil's dreams of making a return to a World Cup final in the Maracana were shattered in the most agonizing manner as Germany inflicted on the hosts one of the most remarkable defeats in the 84–year history of this competition."
A face palm doesn't capture it.

A face palm doesn't capture it.

I lived in Argentina for two years back in the early 90s, during which time Argentina went all the way to the 1990 World Cup final. I've never seen an entire city go insane with joy like I did when Argentina beat Brazil 1-0 in the Round of 16, then beating Italy 4–3 in a shootout in the semi-final. Each was a massive party — the entire city of Bariloche emptied into the streets and the happy riot went on for hours. Men hanging off lamp posts. Girls wrapped in Argentine flags dancing with total strangers. Little children and old ladies running wild. 

Then Argentina they lost the final and the Cup to Germany 0–1 when the referee awarded the Germans a penalty kick in the 85th minute. I walked the streets for a while after that loss. It was an utter ghost town. Total silence, the shock and despair as palpable as fog even though I couldn't see a soul.

We Americans don't understand the degree to which "The Beautiful Game" is entwined deep in the psyche of other countries. It's a second religion and the national players are the high priests. Much of the world just stops when games are played at this level. 

A 1–0 loss is a heartbreaker.
2–0 is a crushing defeat.
3–0 is a blowout.
7–1? Four goals in six minutes? Five goals in 30 minutes? The lone Brazilian goal a meaningless strike in the closing minutes? The worst Brazilian loss in the history of the Cup, certainly in almost 100 years?

Yesterday's game will torture the Brazilians psychologically for the next 50 years and I'm not being hyperbolic. Every time they see the Germans play, that 7–1 match will be what they think about. It will stop haunting them either when the current generation starts dying out or they exact revenge on the Germans in some comparable way on the pitch. Their national pride is deeply wounded, despair now runs rampant, and they will spend the next four years questioning everything they thought they knew about how to play futbol. And the rest of the world will watch them, every play, every match, to see whether Brazil is recovering psychologically or self-doubt is feeding on itself.

Brazil's first World Cup match of 2018 is going to be very, very interesting.

Voyager 1 has reached interstellar space

Astonishing.

"The confirmation that the craft had reached interstellar space was announced this week, thanks to some additional data from a third CME shock Voyager 1 observed in March of this year. By reaching interstellar space, it essentially means the craft has made it into the massive, empty expanse that exists between solar systems."

Launched 37 years ago and not just still functioning, but communicating with Earth despite having traveled more than 11 BILLION miles. Voyager 1 stands as one of the greatest engineering feats in human history and the bar gets raised every mile it travels.

I wonder if we'll ever be able to build a spacecraft fast enough to fly out, pick it up, and bring it home.

The Greatest Hack of All Time

This was possibly NASA's finest moment ever. If you've seen Apollo 13, you know what I'm talking about.

The one time in history when making a square peg fit into a round hole was a literal matter of life-and-death.

The one time in history when making a square peg fit into a round hole was a literal matter of life-and-death.

"This is the mother of all hacks, the genius device that saved the Apollo XIII crew from dying in their emergency return to Earth, as photographed during that trip using one of their Hasselblad cameras. Here are the actual step-by-step instructions that helped turn this mission into NASA's most successful failure ever."

Follow the link to read the actual instructions NASA cobbled together for building the adapter. The engineers who figured that thing out were a bunch of steely-eyed missile men.

Make it so...

"What the mind of man can conceive and believe, it can achieve." — Napoleon Hill

I'd give real money to see this in my lifetime.

"NASA scientist Harold White unveiled a new concept design for a spaceship with a faster-than-light-speed warp drive engine yesterday that most sci-fi fans will probably describe as gorgeous...

...To be clear, we haven’t yet figured out how to create a warp drive, but that isn’t stopping White from imagining what a warp drive-powered vehicle might look like."